New Zealand balances relief with restraint
Finance Minister Nicola Willis’ second budget marks a significant change from previous years, as the government tries to juggle an increasing fiscal deficit with targeted cost of living relief for New Zealanders.
After years of heavy spending — especially during and after COVID — this year’s Budget takes a much more cautious, careful approach. The government is focusing on controlling inflation and preparing for slower economic growth, rather than offering major new funding or handouts.
There are no ‘sugar hits’ in this budget, as the government is instead focusing on getting the basics right and making sure the economy stays on track during uncertain global times.
It’s a considerate approach, but one that aims to build a stronger foundation for the future. Whether it works will depend on how the economy responds — and how well the private sector takes advantage of the opportunities it offers.
So, how does this budget affect you, your business and the economy?
Smaller spending, more discipline
The Budget includes just $1.3 billion in new spending — the smallest increase in 10 years. This shows the government is serious about tightening its belt and being more responsible with public money. They plan to gradually reduce the deficit and expect government debt to stop rising by 2027/28.
The goal is to eventually get back into surplus, meaning the government would earn more than it spends — something we haven’t seen in years.
The economy is slowing down
New forecasts show New Zealand’s economy is expected to grow more slowly than previously thought — just 2.9% over the next year instead of 3.3%. This is due to a mix of global challenges and less consumer spending at home.
Inflation is slowly coming down, but prices are still high and many businesses and households are feeling the pinch. Unemployment may rise a bit in the short term but is expected to stabilise.
Key focus areas
Even though the Budget is tight, the government is still putting money into areas it sees as critical:
- Health: Over $1 billion is going into hospitals and health infrastructure.
- Education: $646 million is being spent to help children with learning difficulties.
- Defence: $2.7 billion is set aside to upgrade the Defence Force.
- Energy: $200 million will help support new natural gas projects to improve energy supply.
These investments are about building for the future, not providing short-term boosts. The government wants to improve services, security and infrastructure to help the economy in the long run.
No surprises for businesses
For business owners this budget is mostly about stability:
- No new taxes or surprise costs which will help you to plan for the future with more confidence.
- The Investment Boost is a major highlight, letting businesses immediately deduct 20% of the cost of new equipment, vehicles and technology from their taxable income to encourage investment and productivity. This puts more cash in your pocket now — and encourages businesses to invest in their growth.
- The government is putting a lot of money into health, defence, education and energy. If your business supplies goods or services in areas like construction, IT, logistics or professional services the new government contracts could benefit you.
Overall, the Budget gives businesses a more predictable environment. While it doesn’t offer new funding directly, it reduces uncertainty — and that’s good for planning and investment.