Australia

Australian activity

Aggregate value and number of transactions in Australia (2016-1H2025)

Breakdown of M&A activity per transaction size category in Australia (2016-1H2025) (% of total # of transactions)

While Australian M&A activity dropped to a decade low of just 268 deals, total deal values have stayed steady at around $22 billion over the past three years. Ongoing uncertainty has impacted confidence, however, solid valuations, strategic consolidation and global interest have helped support deal flow.

Breakdown of M&A activity by industry sector

Businesses in the materials sector dominated M&A activity with 80 deals and $7.2b in disclosed aggregate deal value. Northern Star Resources Limited’s acquisition of De Grey Mining Ltd for $5.6b was a significant driver of this sector’s outperformance.

The industrials sector also outperformed, driven by Pacific Equity Partners Pty Ltd’s $3.2b acquisition of SG Fleet Group Ltd., representing PEP’s 10th take-private transaction, underscoring the nexus between private and public capital markets. SME industrials were also among the most active; GenusPlus Group acquired Partum Engineering and L&M Power Constructions and Simonds Group acquired Dennis Family Homes.

Looking ahead

Market uncertainty is expected to persist due to changing US tariffs, deglobalisation trends and as local dealmakers navigate changes to ACCC/FIRB regulations, leading to longer deal timelines.

Global activity

First half global M&A activity (total transaction value, $t)

Global M&A activity has rebounded, compared to both H1 2023 and 2024. Transaction values were $1.9 trillion in H1 2025, an increase of 27% from the previous corresponding period (pcp). Higher value deals saw Europe grow from 22% to 25% pcp and Asia-Pacific expand from 13% to 20% pcp. Simultaneously, the United States saw a decline in activity by value from 61% of global market share to 52%, which is in line with its historical average. Part of this decline is explained by the uncertainty around the 2 April ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs, which likely stalled investment deal decisions.

Looking ahead

If Trump’s revised tariff policy draws more foreign investment into the United States as part of deal negotiations, it is likely that the United States could see an uptick in M&A activity, closer to that observed in H1 2024.

Breakdown of global M&A activity by industry sector (% of total transaction value)

The Technology, Media and Telecom (TMT) sector has recorded a rebound in its share of transaction value, growing from 14% in H1 2023 and 2024 to 18% in H1 2025. In contrast, both Energy & Utilities and Industrials have seen a decline year-on-year from 17% to 10% and 19% to 15%, respectively.

This has been driven by the boom in AI and data centres, which has helped propel multiple expansions within the start-up ecosystem, with no sign of slowing. With the prospect of a further easing in monetary policy in Australia over the next year, we expect a further shift in investment away from ‘safer’ industrial and utilities industries to ‘riskier’ growth assets in technology.

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